{"id":153,"date":"2009-06-07T11:03:00","date_gmt":"2009-06-07T11:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.co.uk\/SU\/?p=153"},"modified":"2023-04-13T12:27:20","modified_gmt":"2023-04-13T04:27:20","slug":"the-arena-for-accountable-predictions-long-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/the-arena-for-accountable-predictions-long-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Accountable Predictions Long Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"741\" height=\"127\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Long-Bets.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4076\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Long-Bets.png 741w, https:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Long-Bets-300x51.png 300w, https:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Long-Bets-500x86.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 741px) 100vw, 741px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Arena for Accountable Predictions or Long Bets site is:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;an arena for competitive, accountable predictions (Long Bets).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;a forum for focused discussion and debate about prediction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;an attractive tool for philanthropic giving.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;a way to foster better long-term thinking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">People making long term predictions and prepared to put their money where their mouth is. Some bets are a bit ridiculous though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Update 2023<\/strong>: Some bets have already finished and from my observations most were wrong. e.g. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tesla will make a &lt;$30,000 car by 2015, By 02022, <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Aether Physics (or its equivalent) will take the place of General Relativity and Quantum Theory, <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan will be found guilty at a court of law or will flee from the country by 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It would be good if the site owners made site  navigation better and had a section for bets which have finished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.longbets.org\/\">http:\/\/www.longbets.org\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Arena for Accountable Predictions or Long Bets site is: &#8230;an arena for competitive, accountable predictions (Long Bets).\u00a0 &#8230;a forum for focused discussion and debate about prediction. &#8230;an attractive tool for philanthropic giving. &#8230;a way to foster better long-term thinking. &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/the-arena-for-accountable-predictions-long-bets\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,102],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-153","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-interesting-links","category-updated-2023"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=153"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4077,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153\/revisions\/4077"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nolligan.ie\/SU\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}